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Making Sense of US Population Growth
It’s not very often you will find me agreeing with an avowed environmentalist, but facts are facts and, when it comes to population growth, they are ignored at our peril if America is to avoid sliding rapidly into a Third World status.
"The American people, especially our leaders, must bring themselves to face thereality that our population cannot be allowed to continue to grow without disastrous consequences," said Donald Mann, president of Negative Population Growth, Inc. in response to the news that on October 17, 2006 our population passed the three hundred million mark.
Of that number, the estimate of illegal immigrants ranges from twelve to twenty million. In his bestselling book, "State of Emergency", Patrick J. Buchanan noted that "Rarely have immigrants constituted 10 percent of our number," adding that "We have almost as many foreigners here today as came in the first 350 years of our history…(and) most of those coming are breaking in." The U.S. Census bureau calculates that an immigrant sets foot in America, legally and illegally, every 31 seconds.
Americans, in addition to the out-of-control immigration crisis, have an even larger crisis looming and it too will impact every aspect of our lives. With more people being born every day than are dying, we are less than thirty years away from a population of 400 million!
We do need a new, replacement, younger work force and the current Social Security and other benefits programs depends on this. It’s predicted to go broke in a decade or so anyway.
A dramatically growing population is going to require more roads, bridges, power plants, airports, housing, jails, schools, hospitals, and other elements of our national infrastructure just to keep pace with our current needs. By any measurement you apply—crime, healthcare, education, transportation—life in America is going to grow worse without the facilities and the energy to maintain our current lifestyles.
The quickest, easiest answer is to stop all immigration, legal and illegal, into the nation and do not tell me this cannot be done. It has already been done. Between 1924 and 1965, America declared a moratorium, a forty-year pause that allowed the "melting pot" to facilitate assimilation into our culture.
There is another factor this massive growth of our population portends. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, "worldwide marketed energy consumption is projected to grow by 71%." Of the various sources of energy, "petroleum consumption is still expected to grow strongly, reaching 118 million barrels per day in 2030." America will be closing in on a hundred million more people at that point.
America will not only be more crowded and in need of far more electrical energy generation than exists today, but it is going to need to exploit the oil reserves we have or import even more oil to fuel our transportation needs, heat homes, and provide the vast petrochemical needs of our industries.
Three hundred million Americans want to turn on the electricity where they live and work. Our electrical grid system needs massive upgrading and expansion. We offer few incentives to utility companies to do this.
We must rid ourselves of the impediments to expanding our nuclear energy industry.
We must begin to more effectively exploit our existing oil reserves in "mature" fields and to explore for more offshore and in places like Alaska’s ANWR.
In December 2005, Merchant Consulting in Houston released a study about "enhanced oil recovery projects." David Merchant noted that two-thirds of the world’s proved oil reserves lie in the Middle East and that the world consumes around 80 million barrels of crude oil a day.
Not only will the worldwide oil demand increase, it will do so as the top 14 super giant fields are in decline.
Yes, oil is finite. Yes, we’re going to have to import more to support the needs of 300 million Americans. And yes there remain millions of barrels of U.S. oil that can be discovered, extracted and recovered, but Congress has created a vast matrix of laws that obstructs or discourages this process.
Today’s population of 300 million Americans doesn’t care much about the logistics of oil until it becomes too expensive at the pump. They are convinced that Big Oil is always going to provide oil and natural gas, and they are right.
Ponder this, on October 17 the U.S. Census made its announcement and Negative Population Growth, Inc. issued its warning. On October 15, however, ExxonMobil quietly announced it had signed an agreement with Qatar Petroleum to build a $3 billion world-scale petrochemical complex. The new facility will be devoted to the production of liquefied natural gas. That’s the good news.
The bad news is that America desperately needs to close its southern border to prevent obscene numbers of illegal immigrants arriving daily. We need to pause our current immigration to let new Americans assimilate or, to put it another way, to learn English!
We can have our expanding suburbs. We can respond to the needs of older Americans. We can pass on the America we know to a new generation.
This will not occur if our economy continues to be victimized by environmental policies that deter access to our nation’s energy reserves, puts curbs on new housing, and opposes our nation’s agricultural and corporate communities.
Ultimately, with three hundred million or four hundred million, if America fails to protect and assert its national sovereignty there won’t be a nation to save.
Have you purchased your copy of Alan Caruba’s new book, "Right Answers: Separating Fact from Fantasy"? Click here to get an autographed copy. Also available from Amazon.com and BarnesandNoble.com.
Predicting Hurricanes. Not! [Part Two]
This nation of ours is home to some of the best meteorologists using some of the best technology available. This does not mean they have any idea what the weather will be two weeks from now. With this in mind, I offer you part two of my April ruminations on the 2006 hurricane season.
In April I reminded people that hurricanes have been showing up off the East and Gulf coasts for millennia. It wasn’t until millions of people started jamming themselves together in those scenic areas that the damage wrought by hurricanes became a problem. The ocean views are wonderful, but not when they’re in your living room.
Dr. William Gray of Colorado State University has gained a reputation as a predictor of hurricanes and I pointed out that in 2005 he had concluded there would be 13 named storms with 7 becoming hurricanes. In 2005, there were 28 storms and 15 of them became hurricanes. One of them flattened New Orleans and a huge swath of Mississippi for good measure.
In April 2006, however, Dr. Gray was back, predicting 17 storms powerful enough to be named, of which 9 would become hurricanes. By early October, he downgraded his forecast predicting only one more hurricane this year and two more named storms. He did not anticipate any intense hurricanes like Katrina.
So far, the Atlantic basin has seen 9 named storms and 5 hurricanes. None have represented a significant problem to coastal residents. Dr. Gray says he’s less worried about a really big, bad hurricane. Call me a cynic, but I would say it’s probably time for everyone on the East and Gulf coasts to buy an inflatable rubber boat.
Okay, I admit it, I am picking on this distinguished scientist, but I am also amused and informed by the way Mother Nature pays no attention to his calculations, computations, informed assumptions, and ultimately his predictions.
Why did he downgrade his 2006 prediction? A weather cycle called El Nino in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean. Turns out that November activity during El Nino years is very rare, thus reducing the prospect of more storms and hurricanes.
Meanwhile, in the headquarters of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), a big fight broke out over a position paper authored by some of its scientists suggesting a link between hurricanes and global warming. Conrad Lautenbacher, the administrator, did not want NOAA associated with the paper because it contained, in his words, "no new science."
Considering that the "science" surrounding global warming has been taken out behind the shed and spanked for being very bad, one can only congratulate Conrad for not wanting NOAA to contribute to the stinking pile of pseudo-science that keeps insisting the Earth is doomed when in fact it has warmed barely one degree Fahrenheit between 1850 and 1950, and not at all since then.
The paper the NOAA administrator resisted reportedly "conveyed a consensus opinion that global warming could lead to more intense hurricanes." Return now to Dr. Gray’s most recent downgrade of his predictions. Not global warming, but the El Nino cycle. Not more and worse hurricanes, but less this year.
As they say, "Who you gonna believe? Global warming advocates or your lying eyes?" The endless blather about global warming should be consigned to a thick file in the same cabinet as the Piltdown man and other famous hoaxes.
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